Oct 22

Trade Values: Week 8

The times they are a changin’. We saw some new faces step up in week 7 for a variety of NFL teams, leaving some expected fantasy producers on the bench and out with more injuries. Rookie running back Tre Mason finally got his big break against the Seahawks and looks to have taken the lead in the St. Louis backfield. Also, Denard Robinson has been “assured” that he will be the starting running back in Jacksonville going forward. Last but not least, Bryce Brown has returned as a fantasy relevant player after injuries to Fred Jackson and CJ Spiller.

With all the uncertainty between new players in starting roles and under-performing superstars, now is the time to evaluate your own players, determine their trade value and make a deal that will help catapult your team into the fantasy playoffs. Continue reading

Oct 17

Good Vibes and Bad Vibes: Week 7

Not the most entertaining game last night but at least it wasn’t a blow out like every other Thursday Night Game. This week we have some rivalry’s to talk about and some games you may not expect to see on this week’s list. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Philadelphia Eagles are on bye so make sure you change those fantasy lineups. After the news from last week, I think it’s only right that we kick things off with:

Giants @ Cowboys: What a huge blow for the New York Giants losing their best WR Victor Cruz! Well actually fantasy owners this isn’t as bad as you might think. Cruz was a fantasy disappointment to begin with only posting double digits twice through the first 6 weeks. Cruz ranked 40th heading into this week, while Rueben Randle ranks at 47th amongst all wide receivers. That’s pathetic! Losing Cruz will allow Eli Manning to target Randle more on the deep ball, Larry Donnell more in the end zone, and get the big rookie Odell Beckham Jr. more involved. The Giants have a favorable matchup against the Dallas Cowboys D/ST and I have Good Vibes for all their playmakers. The Cowboys still have one of the most explosive offenses in the league (if everyone shows up on Sunday) and unless an injury occurs to one of their playmakers, they shouldn’t slow down. I have Good Vibes for Demarco Murray, Dez Bryant, and Terrance Williams; avoid the disappointing Jason Witten at all costs. This division rival game has high scoring written all over it and should be exciting to watch. I am giving this one to the Giants because teams/players often respond to tragedies.

Final Score: Giants 31 Cowboys 28

Bengals @ Colts: Andrew Luck is the best quarterback in fantasy heading into week 7 and that will not change against this Cincinnati Bengals D/ST. T.Y Hilton continues to see the majority of the targets and will either end up as a solid flex play or a top 5 WR this week. With that being said, I have Good Vibes for T.Y. and he should be started at all costs because of his ceiling. Reggie Wayne is turning into more of a 3rd down clutch receiver and at this point I don’t trust him in any formats. Ahmad Bradshaw and Trent Richardson are one of the best RBBC (Running Back by Committee) in the league. Both of the Indianapolis Colts RB’s rank in the top 24 heading into week 7 and I would start both of them as #2 RB’s/Flex options. Dwayne Allen continues to score every week and is clearly one of Luck’s favorite targets. I have Good Vibes for the TE in all formats. A.J. Green continues to battle a toe injury and the Bengals will not risk their WR unless he feels 100% ready to go. Green is a must start if he is cleared! Mohamed Sanu will be the main receiving threat for the Bengals and should have another big day if Green is out; avoid Sanu if Green plays. Colts are one of the best teams in the NFL right now and the Bengals will have their hands full come Sunday.

Final Score: Bengals 17 Colts 27

Chiefs @ Chargers: Another great rivalry matchup this week and the fans will definitely get their money’s worth. Philip Rivers has been red hot at home and should be highly taken into consideration when fantasy owners decide their lineups for this coming weekend. Rookie Branden Oliver has been a great play with Ryan Matthews out, and should be started until the veteran workhorse comes back. Keenan Allen continues to be in the talks for most disappointing fantasy player of the year. I have Bad Vibes for all WR on the San Diego Chargers; none of them can be trusted. Antonio Gates continues to see his share of targets and is a viable option heading into this matchup. As for the Kansas City Chiefs, I only have Good Vibes for Jamaal Charles and TE Travis Kelce. The Chiefs are starting to realize the type of player they have in Kelce and he should have a big day with the Chiefs trailing the Chargers. The Chargers will give up 1st place in the division but it won’t be this week.

Final Score: Chiefs 21 Chargers 31

Vikings @ Bills: I always find it interesting when a player goes to Twitter to call out their team about not getting the football (aka Cordarrelle Patterson). I don’t trust Patterson at all and I don’t recommend starting him, but I am curious to see if OC Norv Turner takes the advice of Patterson. Hopefully, we can see 1 more double digit game before the season is over from the talented receiver. Matt Asiata is the clear go to back for the Minnesota Vikings and is a solid option this week. Asiata is the only player I have Good Vibes for on the Vikings. As for the Buffalo Bills, I love Fred Jackson this week. The veteran has a favorable matchup against the Vikings and he is playing at home. Jackson is the clearly #1 in the pecking order ahead of C.J. Spiller and I have Good Vibes for the veteran. Sammy Watkins was shut down last week, but should get right back on track. I have Good Vibes for the rookie and he should be considered a solid #2 option in all formats. The Bills D/ST currently ranks #6 in fantasy points and they’re going against a pathetic offense. I have Good Vibes for the Bills D/ST and they should be in a lineup in every fantasy league. This one won’t be fun to watch.

Final Score: Vikings 10 Bills 24

Saints @ Lions: The only reason I have this game on this list is to make sure fantasy owners avoid all New Orleans Saints players. Yes, even Drew Brees. Jimmy Graham is unlikely to play and since he is the primary weapon for Brees, both future Hall of Famers should be avoided. The Saints are playing on the road and when they do, they are a completely different team. The Lions D/ST is #2 in fantasy points heading into week 7 and should be considered for every fantasy owner in every league. Hopefully, Calvin Johnson gets the green light so he can get back on track to where he should be (if he’s not used as a decoy). Golden Tate is a solid play if Calvin is out in PPR leagues. I wouldn’t consider Tate anything more than a flex option in standard leagues, especially the way Matthew Stafford is spreading the ball around. Reggie Bush swears he will be back to play against his former team. If this is the case, both Lions RB’s Joique Bell and Bush become nothing more than flex options. This will be relatively low scoring and the Lions should take this one at home.

Final Score: Saints 13 Lions 17

If you have any other lineup questions please don’t hesitate to tweet me @slgseth

Oct 17

Draft Kings Advice NFL – Week 7

"I'm ready to shine on Monday Night, who gone stop me???"  "AntonioBrown closeup" by The Football Juice

“I’m ready to shine on Monday Night, who gone stop me???” “AntonioBrown closeup” by The Football Juice

Weekly fantasy sports are a beautiful thing because despite the fact I didn’t have my best showing last week, there’s a brand new slate of new opportunities ahead this week. And like Flo-Rida says “Sometimeeeeees I get a good feeling…..Yeah!” Yours truly is definitely feeling great vibes about my line-ups this week and I’ll let you in on my secrets so you can pin-point the guys that will surely grant you a victory in those tournaments.

Quarterbacks:

Value Pick – Ben Roethlisberger (5,700) – This is almost a lock to return value at this price and Big Ben is due for a big game after two fairly mediocre showings. Houston has also allowed a multi-TD passer for four weeks in a row now.

Pay the Premium – Peyton Manning (9,000) – Definitely a tough match-up on paper but Peyton Manning has a chance to make history and despite the party line that they aren’t focused on the record, he’ll come out gunning and they’ve been unstoppable lately.

Running Backs:

Value Pick – Ben Tate (5,300) – Probably the last time all year you’ll see Tate go for this cheap especially after he ransacks the Jaguars D this week. With 20+ carries the past two weeks, the Browns are committed to the run game and Tate is clearly their guy.

Value Pick – Lamar Miller (5,300) – No Knowshon? No problem. Lamar Miller is fully capable to carry the load and will see his regular 15-20 touches and the momentum is strong with his 3 TD’s in the past two weeks.

Pay the Premium – Andre Ellington (6,500) – Probably not the name you expected but with Forte and Murray being over 9,300, you basically project them to score 30+ which is a tough projection to expect. Ellington faces a soft run D in Oakland that just allowed 120 yards and a TD to Branden Oliver last week. Ellington should make a few catches out the backfield and look for him to finally break 100 yards on the ground.

Wide Receivers:

Value Pick – Golden Tate (5,900) – No Calvin once again and New Orleans has been getting straight LIT UP by wide receivers this year. Expect another 10+ targets and for him to have a nice rebound game this week as the main receiving option.

Value Pick – Justin Hunter (3,700) – Hunter has been slowly but surely coming around and he just missed a TD last week when he was tackled at the one yard line. He’s clearly the No. 1 receiver in Tennessee now and the Redskins have been terrible at defending the pass this year.

Pay the Premium – Demaryius Thomas (8,000) – Thomas has put any injury concerns or issues that plagued him the first 3 weeks of the season and has been an unstoppable force the past two weeks with 350 yards and 3 TD’s. It doesn’t matter who’s checking him at this point.

Pay the Premium – Antonio Brown (7,900) – It’s been a couple of weeks since Brown has seen pay dirt and that will change this week at home against the Texans. They’ve allowed a receiving TD in 5 straight weeks and T.Y. Hilton just torched them for 225 yards.

Tight End:

Value Pick – Jordan Reed (5,000) – We heard a lot about Jordan Reed’s potential involvement in the Redskins passing attack prior to the season and he certainly didn’t disappoint in his return from injury. Only playing for about half the offensive snaps, he still reeled in 8 catches for 92 yards so going forward he should replicate that production and be on the field more.

Value Pick – Jordan Cameron (4,600) – I did get something right last week as Cameron was a recommended instinct play and he went on to score a touchdown and eclipse 100 receiving yards. Jacksonville definitely isn’t scaring anyone so he should be a great play this week as well.

DST:

Cleveland Browns (3,000) vs Jax –  Jacksonville has provided at least 10 fantasy points to every opposing defense that’s played them this year. This is certainly the defense play this week.

My Optimal Lineup:

QB – Ben Roethlisberger (5,700)

RB – Lamar Miller (5,300)

RB – Ben Tate (5,300)

WR – Antonio Brown (7,900)

WR – Golden Tate (5,900)

WR – Demaryius Thomas (8,000)

TE – Jordan Reed (5,000)

FLEX – Justin Hunter (3,700)

DEF – Browns (3,000)

I’m interested to hear your line-ups as well so shoot me a line on here or on Twitter @TheTruthMJD and remember to always trust your instincts!! Good luck this week.

 

Oct 17

Fantasy Football Pick ‘em or Kick ‘em: Week 7

Fantasy football is a weekly game.

This should be your mantra; your rule to live by. There are times to take longevity into account, but more often than not you’re playing the weekly match-ups hoping to beat your opponent right then and there.

To help you make the tough decisions throughout your lineup, I’m releasing my list of guys you should either pick for your starting lineup or kick to your bench.

This week, I make a case to bench Matt Ryan and the second ranked D/ST in all of fantasy football.

Continue reading

Oct 16

FanDuel Recommendations: Week 7 – Cash Games

In daily fantasy football there are two main types of playing formats; cash games (which includes 50/50s, double-ups, and head to heads) and tournaments (also known a GPPs, which stands for guaranteed prize pool tournaments). In this article we will break down assembling a lineup and some of my top recommendations at each position for the cash game format.

CASH GAMES

When it comes to assembling a lineup for cash games, we want to put together a team that has the highest projected “floor” scoring. The key reason behind this is simple, you just need to be better than half of the field. For this reason we will want to focus on players that have the highest projected points per salary cap dollar. The most important word in that sentence is probable When it comes to FanDuel we’re looking for a score of about 120 points, which is 2 points for each $1K of salary. The format in FanDuel is 1 QB, 2 RBS, 3 WRs, 1 TE, 1K & 1 D/ST. The players recommended will be players used in my lineup for the weekend. Continue reading

Oct 16

Happy #spiritday

On Thursday October 16th, 2014 we will join many organizations such as the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, Wells Fargo, PepsiCo and others in going purple in an effort to help show support for the LGBT youth across the world

Spirit Day is a day of unity via the color Purple to show youth of today that they have allies. According to a recent survey 8 out of 10 student who identified as Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual or Transgender report being bullied on a regular basis because of who they are. And more alarming than that is nearly 24% of the youth who identify as LGBT have admitted to wanting to commit suicide or have attempted it.

It is important that we stand up and show support for these individuals and show them they have a support system, and that they have something to look forward to beyond being bullied everyday in school.

Along with GLAAD and other organizations we ask you on this day to wear purple and/or turn your social media profiles purple. (Click the link for easy tools to assist you)